NCTRAD wrote:Thank you all for taking the time to provide some great responses. I have to say that when I post on Mountain Project and other technical climbing forums the members are not so helpful. This 14er group seems to be pretty cool. Well here is what I am going to try. Twin Sisters on Monday afternoon weather permitting. Bear Lake to Fern Lake on Tuesday morning. Longs on Wednesday. Chasm Lake sounds awesome, but no way I could be that close to Longs summit and not go ahead and push for it. I will let you know how it works out. I did build in Thurs as a backup day for Longs in the event it bad weather, but I dont want to use it as it screws up the rest of my schedule. Will be staying in Breckenridge Thurs night. Would an afternoon shot at Quandry be possible. If no storms in the area would 1 or 2pm start time be too risky?
As many other posts have said, Colorado mountain weather is pretty unpredictable (especially this time of year). The absence of storms in the present is hardly an indicator that you won't get storms later in the day, or even in an hour or two.
Quandary is one of the least difficult fourteeners to climb; however, you are still probably looking at least a couple of hours to get to the summit from the trailhead. I have certainly seen weather sock-in in the early to mid-morning, but the afternoon is, by far, the most common time for thunderstorms. It follows that starting at 1 or 2 in the afternoon puts you in the prime danger zone, for being caught above treeline.